Inaugural Post - Oscar Predictions

Hello to all one of you who may have stumbled across my new blog! I'm absolutely obsessed with film in all forms as the title of my blog states and as such have decided to make my first entry an oscar prediction edition seeing as it's approaching rather rapidly. I can't think of anything else in particular to ramble on about at the moment(don't worry, it'll pass, next one will have plenty of rambling, bitching, complaining and my overall opinions). Without further adieu my 2010 Oscar Predictions:

Let me preface this by saying I'll be making comments after the nominees involving the following:

a)My pick
b)The likely winner
c)The outside chance or underdog.
d)why something may or may not win

Gathering a list of nominees lets go in reverse order as to build up from least interesting to, well, the Best Picture. I will however omit any awards categories where I haven't had a chance to see any of the nominees or I just don't care(i.e. short films, documentaries).


Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year

Coraline(too dark, not made by Pixar)
The Fantastic Mr. Fox(no one uses stop-motion anymore, certainly not Pixar)
The Princess And The Frog(3 D has replaced hand drawn in the preferred animated arena, Disney will get this sooner or later, Pixar didn't make it)
The Secret Of Kells(not even out yet and no one's heard of it and not made by Pixar)
Up(my pick as well as likely winner, it's Pixar so that alone almost guarantees a win)

If you hadn't already guessed, Pixar generally wins the best animated feature category(it's only lost a couple, the first one to Shrek and the other one inexplicably to Happy Feet)

Best Achievement In Visual Effects(why there's only 3 I'll never know, Transformers 2 deserves a nomination as well as G.I.Joe)

Avatar(my pick as well as likely winner, just unbelievable)
District 9(I'd like to see it win just on how little it cost and how good it looks)
Star Trek(great, but not as great as Avatar)

No one watching cares about awards for sound so I'll move past those as well.

Best Achievement In Music Written For Motion Pictures, Original Song

Crazy Heart-"The Weary Kind"
Faubourg 36-"Loin De Paname"
Nine-"Take It All"
The Princess & The Frog-"Almost There"
The Princess & The Frog-"Down In New Orleans"

I haven't seen any of these but if Disney doesn't win with 2 nominees both done by Randy Newman than they're just not trying anymore. That being said, there's a good chance Crazy Heart will walk away with it. Also very surprised Avatar doesn't have it's song included in here.

Best Achievement In Music Written For Motion Pictures, Original Score

Avatar(likely winner)
The Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Hurt Locker
Sherlock Holmes
Up(my pick, the recurring tune was catchy)

If Up wins anything besides best animated feature this will be it. No chance for best picture.

Best Achievement In Makeup

Il Divo
Star Trek(come on, you really think a period piece will beat Star Trek?)
The Young Victoria

Skipping Art Direction and Costume Design.

Best Achievement In Editing

Avatar
District 9(outside chance)
The Hurt Locker(likely winner)
Inglourious Basterds(my pick)
Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire


Best Achievement In Cinematography

Avatar(likely winner)
Das Weisse Band-Eine Deutsche Kindergeschichte
Harry Potter And The Half-Blood Prince
The Hurt Locker(my pick)
Inglourious Basterds(outside chance)

Avatar's likely the big winner for the night so most of the awards will likely go to it. Likely. That word's gonna wear out it's welcome just you wait.

Best Writing, Screenplay Based On Material Previously Published ah screw it, it's called Best Adapted Screenplay

District 9(outside chance since this movie was based on the same guy's short film)
An Education
In The Loop
Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire(likely winner which is strange because it's based on the novel by the same name, which is based on the novel push by sapphire, which is already a novel......I'm confused)
Up In The Air(my pick, just expertly written)


Best Original Screenplay(you know what I mean, takes up less space than the other title...well not now but it would have)

The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds(my pick)
The Messenger(outside chance)
A Serious Man(the likely winner)
Up(animated films don't win these awards)

I say animated films don't win these awards because I consider animated films to be inferior to live-action films just in general. They're cartoons, some may be 3 D cartoons but in the end they're still cartoons. Some are for kids, some are for adults but a cartoon is a cartoon and that is never going to win a major award. I'll take the worst live action film over the best animated film almost every time. Having said that, you can probably guess what won't win best picture.

Best Achievement In Directing

Kathryn Bigelow-The Hurt Locker(likely winner)
James Cameron-Avatar(outside chance)
Lee Daniels-Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire
Jason Reitman-Up In The Air
Quentin Tarantino-Inglourious Basterds(my pick)

Hmm, wonder why Up's director wasn't nominated, because you can't direct a cartoon to do something.

Best Supporting Actress

Penelope Cruz-Nine
Vera Farmiga-Up In The Air(my pick)
Maggie Gyllenhaal-Crazy Heart(outside chance)
Anna Kendrick-Up In The Air
Mo'Nique-Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire(likely winner)


Best Supporting Actor

Matt Damon-Invictus(outside chance)
Woody Harrelson-The Messenger
Christopher Plummer-The Last Station
Stanley Tucci-The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz-Inglourious Basterds(my pick, likely winner, everyone's pick, why even have the other nominees? Just outstanding, biggest lock since Heath Ledger though not nearly as good a performance)


Best Actress

Sandra Bullock-The Blind Side(my pick and likely winner)
Helen Mirren-The Last Station
Carey Mulligan-An Education
Gabourey Sidibe-Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire(outside chance)
Meryl Streep-Julie & Julia


Best Actor

Jeff Bridges-Crazy Heart(likely winner)
George Clooney-Up In The Air(outside chance)
Colin Firth-A Single Man
Morgan Freeman-Invictus
Jeremy Renner-The Hurt Locker(my pick)

Best Motion Picture Of The Year

Avatar(likely winner)
The Blind Side(great movie, just didn't picture it being listed here)
District 9(going out on a limb but my personal pick, I'll just lose my shit if this wins)
An Eduction
The Hurt Locker(another one I'd like to see win, and it probably will if Avatar doesn't)
Inglourious Basterds(my second choice behind District 9)
Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire(too damn long of a title, doubtful)
A Serious Man(very possible)
Up(like I said, not a snowball's chance in hell, animated films just aren't on the same level in my opinion)
Up In The Air(outside chance, I'd like to see it win)


Well yeah, so that's it, thank you to anyone who actually looked at this. Hopefully I'll keep it up, especially if someone mentions it somewhere or leaves a comment, any comment at all. Ciao.